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3. Growth Sources and Growth Process

These papers and articles address sources of economic growth and try to explain the growth process of economies and industries. This part New Economy controversy revolves around fundamental questions in economic theory. Network economics is included here, since “New Economy” proponents draw on these ideas. Most articles below (except the business press) are technical in nature.

Arthur, Brian: “Positive Feedbacks in  the New Economy”, in McKinsey Quarterly 1994, No. 1, pp. 81 – 95, http://mckinseyquarterly.com 

Arthur poses the question if conventional economic theories are still valid for high-tech industries. In these industries, increasing returns are observed to a far larger extent than traditional theory takes into account. Arthur explains lock-in effects and path dependance.

Economides, Nicholas: “Notes on Network Economics and the ‘New Economy’”, lecture notes, August 2000, www.stern.nyu.edu/networks/exmba/netnotes2000.pdf 

Economides, Nicholas: “The Economics of Networks”, in International Journal of Industrial Organization, 14 (1996), pp 673 – 699, http://www.stern.nyu.edu/networks/top.html

Economides is well-known for his works on network economics. In the first article he explains fundamental features of networks - a good starting-point for learning more about network economics. In the second article, Economides focuses on network  externalities and their implications on pricing and market structure.

Evans, George, Seppo Honkapohja and Paul Romer: "Growth Cycles," NBER Working Paper, 1996, www.stanford.edu/~promer/gcycnber.pdf  

In this technical paper, the authors show how aggregate growth alternates between a high growth and a low growth state. They argue that the growth rate depends to a major extent on the expectations of agents.

Liebowitz, Stanley/Steven Margolis: “Are Network Externalities a New Source of Market Failure?”, Working Paper, 1996  

Liebowitz and Margolis deny the significance of network externalities and argue that their central features have been misunderstood and theoretically treated in the wrong way. Therefore, the authors might be seen as critics of at least some of the "New Economy" ideas. This text is suitable for an advanced audience.

Kelly, Kevin: “New Rules for the New Economy”, in Wired, 5.09 (Sept. 1997), www.wired.com

Kelly, Kevin: “The Economics of Ideas”, in Wired, 4.06, Juni 1996, www.wired.com

Kelly is one of the famous proponents of the New Economy. In the first article, he explains the new rules of the network economy. This article has been very controversial, because it dismisses some assumptions of mainstream economic theory. The second article explains Romer's New Growth Theory. Note: Every now and then the Wired-URLs change. Please search both articles directly in their archive.

DeLong, Bradford: “Old Rules for the New Economy”, in Rewired, December 9, 2000, www.rewired.com/97/1209.html 

This article addresses directly Kelly's hypothesis of inverse pricing (a product gets cheaper each year while its quality increases). DeLong explains that many products went through this kind of development, therefore Kelly's observation is no unique feature of the New Economy.

Romer, Paul: "Increasing Returns and Long Run Growth," in Journal of Political Economy, Vol.  94 (October 1986), pp. 1002-37   (not available online)

This article is a classic of New Growth Theory and well-known amongst economists. Romer points at the significance of human capital and knowledge for economic growth.

Weitzman, Martin L.: “Recombinant Growth”, in Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. CXIII,  Number 2 (May 1998), http://mitpress.mit.edu/journals/QJEC/Weitzman.pdf

Weitzman argues that limits to growth do not lie so much in the ability to generate new ideas, but in the ability to process the abundance of new ideas. That's an interesting addition to the New Growth Theory.

Varian, Hal: “The Law of Recombinant Growth”, in The Industry Standard, February 28, 2000, www.thestandard.com/article/display/0,1151,11884,00.html

In this article, Varian explains the Theory of Recombinant Growth and mentions a few historical examples to show how the invention process works.

 

 

© 2001 Nicola Jentzsch - last update: 05/09/01